Indicadores educacionais estatisticamente associados ao Índice de Desenvolvimento da Educação Básica (IDEB): um estudo com escolas de ensino médio do Tocantins

Abstract

The aim of this article is to identify the educational indicators that are statistically associated with the Basic Education Development Index (IDEB) of high schools. For this, a descriptive and inferential statistical analysis was performed, through the Multiple Linear Regression Test (RLM), of the educational indicators of basic education and the IDEB of 2019, considering the public schools that offer high school in the state of Tocantins as a research sample. From the data analysis it was possible to identify that until 2011 the state obtained IDEB above the projected, a situation that reverts from 2013, and that in 2019 the state presents an IDEB of 3.9 for a projection of 4.5. The multiple linear regression model showed that the school performance rate, the IDEB of the previous year and the age-grade distortion rate form a set of variables that can statistically influence the IDEB at a significance level of 1%, the first two of which influence the index positively and the third negatively. The results contribute to the understanding that other variables can influence the IDEB, suggesting measures to analyze the social, economic, demographic and school factor in determining the quality of education.